{"id":6855,"date":"2016-02-25T17:30:46","date_gmt":"2016-02-25T23:30:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6855"},"modified":"2016-02-25T17:51:47","modified_gmt":"2016-02-25T23:51:47","slug":"oscar-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6855","title":{"rendered":"Oscar Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A few years ago, I wrote a series of posts going through the Oscars year-by-year to compare the Best Picture selectees to the films preferred by either IMDB users or the consensus of history as the best picture of the year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6020\">Part I<\/a> went from 1928 to 1952 and covered the very shaky early years of the Academy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6033\">Part II<\/a> covered 1952 to 1978, from the days when the Academy went out of their way to snub Hitchcock to the 1970&#8217;s, when they did a very good job.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6047\">Part III<\/a> covered 1978 to 2012, which has been a shaky period for the Academy as they struggle to adapt to the broader palette of films that has opened up.  Occasionally, they make a good choice, but then they scuttle back to safe fare like <i>The King&#8217;s Speech<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6022\">Part IV<\/a> summed up and ranked the worst Oscar picks in history.  I concluded that the Academy had done an OK job, mostly, but was slowly becoming irrelevant.<\/p>\n<p>That was a fun series of posts to write and even now, I like to go through it occasionally.  A few updates are in order though:<\/p>\n<p>In the post, I stopped tapping films as &#8220;Consensus Picks&#8221; in 2001, saying that not enough time had passed.  It&#8217;s been three years, so I&#8217;ll bring that up to 2005.<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2002<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: Chicago<br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 7.2 (41 out of 132, minimum 25000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>The Two Towers<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Consensus Best Picture<\/b>: <i>City of God<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Comment<\/b>: You can check the original post for my comments on <i>Lord of the Rings<\/i>.  <i>City of God<\/i> continues to be held in high esteem, deservedly so.  <i>Chicago<\/i>, however, keeps sinking.  I rated this as one of their worst picks, even given IMDB&#8217;s bias against musicals.<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2003<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: <i>Return of the King<\/i><br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 8.9 (1st of 111, minimum 25000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Return of the King<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Consensus Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Return of the King<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Comment<\/b>: A number of good pictures are creeping up in the IMDB ratings but I think most people would conclude that <i>LOTR<\/i> was the best movie of 2003.<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2004<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: <i>Million Dollar Baby<\/i><br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 8.1 (7 of 143, minimum 25000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Consensus Best Picture<\/b>: Still unclear.  <i>Sunshine<\/i> might be it.  But I suspect <i>The Incredibles<\/i> will be history&#8217;s favorite.<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2005<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: <i>Crash<\/i><br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 7.9 (18 of 143 for 2004, minimum 25000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Batman Begins<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Consensus Best Picture<\/b>: Still unclear.<br \/>\n<b>Comment<\/b>: I thought maybe I&#8217;d exclude this year as being too recent, but &#8230; 2006 has <i>Pan&#8217;s Labyrinth<\/i> and 2008 has <i>The Dark Knight<\/i>.  So I&#8217;m coming to think it was weak year.<i>Crash<\/i> remains well-regarded by IMDB but its reputation is terrible.<\/p>\n<p>Not much has changed for the other years.  <i>The Departed, Like Stars on Earth, the Dark Knight, Inglorious Basterds, Inception, The Intouchables<\/i> and <i>The Dark Knight Rises<\/i> still rule their respective years.<\/p>\n<p>For the years since, with the threshold raised to 50k votes:<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2013<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: <i>12 Years A Slave<\/i><br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 8.1 (3 of 127, minimum 50000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>The Wolf of Wall Street<\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2014<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: <i>Birdman<\/i><br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 7.8 (17 of 96, minimum 50000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Interstellar<\/i><br \/>\n<b>Comment<\/b>: There&#8217;s a lot of fanboyism in recent IMDB ratings, so I might discount <i>Interstellar<\/i>, a movie I really like, and pick <i>Whiplash<\/i>, which is the #2 IMDB-rated film and might have been my pick for the best movie of the year.  I know it&#8217;s only been a year, but <i>Birdman&#8217;s<\/i> ranking is <i>terrible<\/i> for a recent Best Picture.  I liked it but I think it was a poor pick.  Hollywood loves movies about Hollywood and acting.  Three of the recent Best Pictures were about Hollywood.  But give it five years and I think <i>Birdman<\/i> will start showing up on lists of bad Academy picks.  Still, it could have been worse.  They could have gone with <i>The Imitation Game<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><b>Year<\/b>: 2015<br \/>\n<b>Academy Pick<\/b>: TBA.  Right now, <i>The Revenant<\/i> is the favorite.<br \/>\n<b>IMDB Rating<\/b>: 8.2 (4 of 58, minimum 50000 votes)<br \/>\n<b>IMDB pick as Best Picture<\/b>: <i>Baahubali: The Beginning<\/i>.  But that&#8217;s Bollywood again.  The top-rated American IMDB film is <i>The Force Awakens<\/i>, but that&#8217;s fanboyism.  <i>Inside Out<\/i> is #3.  We&#8217;ll go with that for now.<\/p>\n<p>So has anything changed in the last three years?  I don&#8217;t think so.  The Academy has still shown that are vulnerable to Oscar bait.  They are nominating more action movies like <i>Mad Max<\/i> but they clearly aren&#8217;t going to be giving out the top prize for those movies.  They&#8217;ve made at least one pick &#8212; <i>Birdman<\/i> &#8212; that may soon join the ranks of poor Oscar picks.  And they continue to ignore alternative fare like <i>Straight Outta Compton<\/i> or <i>Ex Machina<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>So &#8230; if you like award ceremonies or you like the horse race or you like glamor, by all means watch the Academy Awards this weekend.  But don&#8217;t watch it because you want to know what the best movie was.  There are so many more resources available now, of which IMDB is just one.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few years ago, I wrote a series of posts going through the Oscars year-by-year to compare the Best Picture selectees to the films preferred by either IMDB users or the consensus of history as the best picture of the year. Part I went from 1928 to 1952 and covered the very shaky early years &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/?p=6855\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Oscar Update<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[307,411],"class_list":["post-6855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies","tag-academy-awards","tag-movies"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2BzKF-1Mz","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6855"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6858,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6855\/revisions\/6858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelsiegel.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}