Category Archives: Politics

Chick Fight

Katherine Mangu-Ward has the lunch of those who think Palin is an anti-feminist candidate:

Steinem says Palin is the “wrong woman” for the VP job because her stances on creationism, global warming, gun control, stem cell research, wolf hunting, education reform and drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge are not the same as those of the “majority or plurality” of women, which I’m sure is true enough. But here’s where she loses me: Surely possessors of breasts can legitimately disagree about the proper method of wolf population control. Did God create the world 6,000 years ago? Hold on, let me consult my ovaries.

Steinem also includes abortion, sex education and the Fair Pay Act in her indictment of Palin. It’s easier to construct a story in which a uniquely feminine view is relevant on these issues. But lo and behold, women are divided here as well. On abortion, for instance, a May Gallup poll found that 50% of American women are pro-choice, while 43% are pro-life — roughly the same percentages as men.

Her opponent’s response? Those dumb broads in the surveys don’t know what pro-life means. Seriously.

Bias

A great article over at Economics of Contempt tackles the media bias issues. The basic argument is:

1) Scientific experiment have shown that people tend to form their political opinions emotionally and then reason backward to support their pre-conceived notions.

2) The media vote overwhelming Democrat.

3) Therefore, they support liberal ideas. QED

My one problem with this is that the scientific experiments show a snapshot in time. While most people’s instantaneous reaction to political events is emotional, the can demonstrably change their opinions over a long enough timescale. This is exemplified by patterns in voting with age and wealth, for example.

But it also applies independent of this. I recently was reading Team of Rivals which demonstrated how individuals such as Lincoln, states such as Maryland and indeed the entire nation changed their opinions on slavery. People’s reaction to their beliefs being challenged is emotional — at first. But over time, reason can wear down most people’s pre-conceived notions.

Monday Linkorama

  • Why is that whenever Obama attacks his opponent, he gives me reasons to vote for McCain? If McCain really wanted to addressed Social Security by raising the retirement age, slowing the growth and partially privatizing, I’d be supportive.
  • Why can’t we get clean diesel cars? Taxes.
  • Would you believe it? Three-quarters of last month’s unemployment increase was a result of government programs encouraging people to claim unemployment.
  • McCain’s idea of having cabinet members work for $1 a year is really stupid (and almost certainly illegal). I’d much rather be ruled by someone out for a buck than someone driving by a burning desire to “help” me.
  • The dirty word at this year’s conventions? Liberty. I’m not persuaded that McCain is the best pick for a libertarian. He’s a big believer in national service.
  • Tuesday Night Linkorama

  • Paycheck Fairness is basically a sop to lawyers.
  • While the plagiarism charge won’t wash with the public, here’s a reminder of why it’s important.
  • The DNC drinking game. Gotta love it.
  • Boy do these alternative medicine idiots infuriate me. My opinion of Christian Applegate went up substantially with the way she dealt with her cancer. If my mother had had breast cancer, if I had the BRCA1 gene and if I had cancer at the tender age of 36, I’d have done the exact same thing.
  • It’s getting better all the time:

    The number and percentage of Americans without health insurance actually declined slightly in 2007 compared to 2006. The share without insurance in 2007, 15.3 percent, is actually lower than it was a decade ago.

    Median household income is not falling: “Between 2006 and 2007, real median household income rose 1.3 percent, from $49,568 to $50,233—a level not statistically different from the 1999 prerecession income peak.”

    The share of households earning a middle-class income of between $35,000 and $100,000 in real 2007 dollars has indeed shrunk slightly compared to a decade ago, but so too has the share earning less than $35,000 a year, while the share earning more than $100,000 continues to rise. The middle class is not shrinking; it is moving up.

    The 12.5 percent of Americans living below the poverty line in 2007 was statistically unchanged from 2006, and remains below the 13.3 poverty rate in 1997. The poverty rate has been trending downward since the early 1990s during a time of growing trade and immigration flows.

    The Gini coefficient, a statistical measure of income inequality, was .463 in 2007, down slightly from earlier in the decade and virtually the same as it was a decade ago.

  • China China Chain

    Only Frank Rich could use the Olympics to argue for an Obama presidency:

    [Phelps win] was a rare feel-good moment for a depressed country. But the unsettling subtext of the Olympics has been as resonant for Americans as the Phelps triumph. You couldn’t watch NBC’s weeks of coverage without feeling bombarded by an ascendant China whose superior cache of gold medals and dazzling management of the Games became a proxy for its spectacular commercial and cultural prowess in the new century. Even before the Olympics began, a July CNN poll found that 70 percent of Americans fear China’s economic might — about as many as find America on the wrong track. Americans watching the Olympics could not escape the reality that China in particular and Asia in general will continue to outpace our country in growth while we remain mired in stagnancy and debt (much of it held by China).

    How we dig out of this quagmire is the American story that Obama must tell. It is not a story of endless conflicts abroad but a potentially inspiring tale of serious economic, educational, energy and health-care mobilization at home. We don’t have the time or resources to go off on more quixotic military missions or to indulge in culture wars. (In China, they’re too busy exploiting scientific advances for competitive advantage to reopen settled debates about Darwin.) Americans must band together for change before the new century leaves us completely behind. The Obama campaign actually has plans, however imperfect or provisional, to set us on that path; the McCain campaign offers only disposable Band-Aids typified by the “drill now” mantra that even McCain says will only have a “psychological” effect on gas prices.

    During the Cold War, nitwit Commie sympathizers would often talk about how amazing it was that the Soviet Union did so well in the Olympics. They would also wax poetic about how wonderful their massive parades were and how impressive their engineered programs (particularly their space program) were. They would then use this supposed success to argue that America needed to move in a more collectivist direction. They would, of course, completely ignore the millions of Soviet citizens who were living in desperate poverty (or in gulags) or the oppression that enabled these dubious triumphs. The flash of Olympic gold, apparently, was more revealing than the grim struggle of the Soviet citizens.

    As Russell Roberts points out, history is repeating itself. Rich is using a dubious success and ignoring huge problems to argue for … something.

    Yes, China is growing quickly. Yes, they have mobilized a lot of resources to win gold medals in gymnastics and diving.

    But they are a desperately poor country that represses their people too often, has filthy air, and has a massive problem dealing with an exploding urban population. Their mobilization of resources to win medals in gymnastics and diving is a scandal for such a poor country, not a triumph. Meanwhile, in the United States, we are suffering through a mild something, maybe a recession with unemployment at 5.7%. Our debt problem is minor. The fact that a lot of US debt has been purchased by the Chinese government that will be repaid in dollars that buy a lot less than they used to is tough on the Chinese not us.

    The idea that Obama will have a plan to reverse matters and set us on the right track is simply a fantasy. We will continue to run trade deficits whether Obama or McCain is elected. We will almost certainly run Federal budget deficits under either man as well.

    Finally, Chinese growth is good for the United States. The economic race is not like the Olympic race. It is not zero-sum. In the Olympics, if you win the gold medal, I can’t. In economics, both countries can grow together.

    I enjoyed the hell out of the games but I also know that China’s success was partially based on being able to build facilities wherever they wanted and pulling kids from families for relentless Olympic training. There is a massive difference between that and America’s success, which is built on a free people pursuing athletic excellence on their own accord.

    China’s success at the Olympics only proves what can be done when you have control of 1.3 billion people. It is the much large commercial success which their top-down capitalist reforms have enabled, that are the larger geopolitical story.

    Friday Morning Linkorama

  • Now this is a reporter. She gets shot and keeps reporting.
  • Aussies
  • This letter probably explains the reason I would consider voting for McCain. As I’ve said on the other blog, McCain’s policy positions are irrelevant. He’s going to have a Democratic Congress.
  • Ah, Houston police. Makes me almost glad I didn’t get that job down there.
  • Personally, I’ve always suspected as much. Human beings are so smart because we eat processed food, lessening the energy demands of our digestive system.
  • Not a link; just an observation. I’m enjoying the Olympics quite a bit. Last night’s gymnastic final was fantastic.
  • What the hell is wrong with people?
  • Only Democrats could take Al Franken seriously as a Senate candidate. This guy seriously makes Schwarzeneggar look like a genius.