A Step Toward Sensibility

Wow. I’ve been beaten to the punch. This will teach me to hold back my comments in the wake of a tragedy. But we now have voices from as far left as Atrios in a brilliant post, to Klein to Virginia Governir Tim Kaine to Sullivan’s interns cautioning against using the VT tragedy to advance ideas about security.

The consensus, at least it some circles, is that you can’t really do much to stop a madman. There’s not much you can learn from an extreme random event. These events are, thankfully, stochastic in our society. So locking down campi, grabbing guns, distributing guns or putting anti-depressants in the water isn’t going to do much good. And there are greater ills to heal with the effort being spent.

Of course, if Barrack Obama just said what Ben Smith says he said (hat tip, Lee), it’s his first major gaffe. Using the VT tragedy to segue into hurtful language and outsourcing is . . . words fail me. Somewhere, Hillary is grinning.

Green

I’m slowly compiling a list of people who are or will take advantage of the VT tragedy to advance their political aims. The usual suspects will be the gun controllers, who are always eagerly awaiting the next tragedy. Also the second ammendment types, who are already telling us that concealed carry in the classroom would have prevented this. The video game censors, the movie censors, the culture warriors, the race hounds. But I just thought of something. This guy was here on a green card. How long will it be before Tom Tancredo or Pat Buchanan call for a moratorium on new green cards?

Amen

A nice little piece at the New York Post points out that the lesson to learn from the Duke case is that DNA labs need to be independent. Not a lot of people realize this, but DNA labs serve the prosecution. And in the Duke case, the lab offered to bury the exonerating evidence. Because they serve the prosecution.

Radley Balko has been on fire lately at The Agitator, pointing out how many innocent people, especially black ones, have been put in prison on cases as flimsy as the Duke one. Perhaps now is the time for both Right and Left to reaffirm their commitment to justice rather than convictions.

A Comparison

Sullivan makes an absolutely brilliant point about the VT killings:

Imagine that this kind of massacre happened every day. Imagine a police force that was far too small to even respond to most of them. Imagine this occurring repeatedly for years until the perpetrators and their accomplices became the de facto power-brokers throughout the land. Imagine the shootings also being accompanied by the brutal torture of victims. Imagine families never having finality on whether their own siblings or parents or children have been murdered or not.

This is Iraq today. Now think of the justified rage many feel at the VT campus police chief and university president for misjudgments. Now imagine them presiding over several more massacres in the same place. Ask yourself: why do we not feel as enraged by those responsible for security in Iraq? Are those victims not human beings too? Are they not children and mothers and fathers and sons? Are we not ultimately responsible for them, having destroyed the institutions of order in their country? Now go watch John Bolton tell the victims to go help themselves.

Our society has a very strong commitment to law and order — perhaps a bit too strong, given the explosion of violent raids in the last decade. We weep for events like VT because they are so rare. But we are now seeing in Iraq that such violence is the natural state of man in the absence of law and order.

I’m a libertarian. One the common slurs hurled against libertarians is that we are anarchists. But we aren’t. Every real libertarian knows that the most important aspect of government is that it establish law and order. Because without law and order, all the rest — freedom, property rights, wealth — mean nothing. Even a broken and bent law and order is better than chaos. Which would you rather have — the horrid dictatorship of Venezuela or Iran or pre-war Iraq? Or the awful chaos of Haiti? That’s why libertarians support things like martial law in emergency situations. Because law and order is the first and primary duty of government.

A couple of weeks ago, Sullivan posted an article that disputed the leftist assertion that natural man is not violent, but peaceful. I would say that Iraq has illuminated a similar delusion on the theocon right. All they had to do was create democracy and peaceful westernized society would flow from it. But democracy is not a source of law and order — it’s a check on it. It’s not a way of running government, it’s a way of holding government accountable for its actions. You have to build a lawful society first. Then you put in the mechanisms to keep it under control.

Our foreign policy — hell, our entire nation — is being run by dorm room bullshit session. It’s being run by a bunch of guys sitting around talking up great ideas of how society could be run (abstinence only education, democratization of the Middle East, ramped up drug war, massive spending) rather than the complex reality of how society is — the complexity that tells libertarians and federalist to screw big ideas and just establish law, order and freedom. And the tragedy is that they have tried these big idea on a multi-ethnic nation with devastating results.

It could be worse. The last people with grand ideas for running society were the Maoists. But there was a better way. And hopefully in January 2009, we’ll start looking for it.

As we recover from the most deadly shooting in American history, let’s be grateful these things are so rare, that we live in a society that is relatively peaceful and lawful. And let’s make sure we keep it that way.

Boortz on VT

Boortz comes out full bore on the Virginia Tech tragedy.

I’m refraining from comment until we know more. We’re hearing a lot of speculation and stories. We can wait a while until we have all the facts. It turned out that most of what people were saying about Columbine in the immediate aftermath was garbage. Let’s take some time to separate the fantasy from the reality.

There is one thing I’d like to say. I hope people will spare just tiny amount of prayer for the family of . . . the shooter.

What?!

Listen. Somewhere in America, some family is about to find out that their brother or son did this horrible horrible thing. If there’s anything worse than finding out your child has been killed, it’s finding out he was a monster. And they will unquestionably get a lot of the blame — perhaps some deserved. Since the shooter is dead, the blame game will be played out in full — VT Administration, cops, student cliques, the family, whatever you want. Some will deserve that blame. All will get it.

VT

I’ve been to Blacksburg a number of times. It’s hard to believe this sort of thing could happen.

Update: I’d written more earlier on this subject but have decided to pull it and wait until more facts come out. For now, all we can do and all we should do is pray.

Whaddya Know!

From Sullivan: Apparently, the most informed voters are those who watch The Daily Show, listen to NPR, watch O’Reilly or listen to Limbaugh. I’m not surprised (well, I am about O’Reilly). The Daily Show and Rush Limbaugh are, from opposite ends of the political spectrum, smart, hip and well-informed. It’s a common misconception that Jon Stewart just makes jokes and Rush Limbaugh just rants and raves. But they both get to the heart of the issues and they both like to use the opposition’s own words to hang them.

Last in the list? Network news (why Fox has it’s own category, I leave to your imagination), local TV and morning shows. I’m surprised any of those finished that high.

I scored 91st percentile in the quiz. The only question I missed is whether Hillary has officially announced or not. I could give a rat’s ass whether her candidacy is officially or unofficially declared. Official or unofficial, she’s a disaster waiting to happen.

A few things that jump out from the demographic analysis. Men are significantly better informed than women. College graduates have a massive advantage over the less educated. The young trail the old. Poor people trail rich. Whites trails blacks. Hmm. This would seem to fly in the face of the result indicating that Republicans are only moderately better informed than Democrats.

The other interesting thing is that the lowest score was on the minimum wage, with about 20% of people knowing the facts. That must be disappointing for the Dems. They went to all that trouble demagoguing the issue so they could raise union wages. And no one noticed.

They Want to Win

One of the common talking points for Bush’s supporters — his few remaining supporters — is to drag out letters from soldiers in Iraq. The soldiers are determined to win, so we should stay, goes the argument.

I have no doubt that this sentiment is common and genuine. But that is always the case with soldiers, even in disaster. When General Pickett’s shattered division returned to Robert E. Lee, many wanted to try again. They were sure they could do it. They did not want to have failed him, to have failed the Cause or, most importantly, to have failed their fellow soldiers.

Lee had to be smarter and he was. He had to see the army in the cold analytical terms that a ground soldier can’t — that a dead soldier is a sunk cost. That killing the living will in no way justify the fallen.

I’m not saying we need to pull of Iraq or that we have had a calamity even approaching Pickett’s charge. Hell, Picket lost twice as many men that day as we’ve lost in the entire war. No, what I’m saying is that our soldiers’ desire to stay in Iraq does not automatically mean we should. They always want to win, they always think they can. That’s what makes them better people than, well, shitheads with blogs.

But the President needs to decide his strategy based on the situation, not their sentiment. If you want us to stay in Iraq, you need to make a legitimate argument, not cower behind the courage of our soldiers.

Flags

Just watched Flags of our Fathers, the good but not great first half of Clint Eastwood’s Iwo Jima saga. One thing jumped out at me that I have heard from many sources before, notably Studs Terkel’s The Good War (which I received for my Bar Mitzvah and actually read twenty years later). And it flies in the face of the Right Wing’s nonsense about how our country has become wussified and weak.

Americans were not as massively supportive of World War II as the neocons would have us believe. The Iwo Jima survivors were used to raise war bonds — because the country was about to go broke from the unwillingness of the American people to buy them. Americans were growing very tired of the war and the fierce fight the Japanese put up at Iwo was partly to break our resolve. It came close to succeeding. Had we invaded Japan proper, perhaps our will would have broken.

The film — and especially its Japanese-language counterpart — have been lauded as being “anti-war” or “anti-Iraq” or a commentary on veterans affairs (the Iraqi vets aren’t the first to be abandoned by our government). I didn’t see that. I’ll let you know what I think when I see Letters from Iwo Jima.

Poll Smoking

Today’s IMDB poll asks which of these animated movies in the IMDb Top 250 is your favorite?

I’m guessing whoever wrote this poll gets confused by foreign languages because the #1 rated animated movie (Miyazaki’s delightful Spirited Away) and #7 (Takahata’s beautiful and heart-rending Grave of the Fireflies) are not on it. I suspect someone saw the Disney titles and recognized Mononoke out of the corner of their eye.

And frankly, I disagree with the IMDB rankings anyway. Any top ten than includes both Toy Story movies and Shrek but not Snow White or My Neighbor Totoro has been compiled by twerps.

Astronomy, Sports, Mathematical Malpractice, Whatever Else Pops Into My Head