Category Archives: ‘Culture’

Law of Averages

Hmmm.

Life expectancy has long been growing steadily for most Americans. But it has not for a significant minority, according to a new study, which finds a growing disparity in mortality depending on race, income and geography.

The study, published Monday in the online journal PLoS, analyzed life expectancy in all 3,141 counties in the United States from 1961 to 1999, the latest year for which complete data have been released by the National Center for Health Statistics. Although life span has generally increased since 1961, the authors reported, it began to level off or even decline in the 1980s for 4 percent of men and 19 percent of women.

“It’s very troubling that there are parts of the wealthiest country in the world, with the highest health spending in the world, where health is getting worse,” said Majid Ezzati, the lead author and an associate professor of international health at Harvard. It is a phenomenon, he added, “unheard of in any other developed country.”

Counties with significant declines were concentrated in Appalachia, the Southeast, Texas, the southern Midwest and along the Mississippi River. Life expectancy increases were mainly in the Northeast and on the Pacific Coast.

Also, places where, well, they get there.

This lack of progress among the worst off was caused by a slowing or halt of reductions in cardiovascular disease, combined with increases in lung cancer and diabetes for women and in H.I.V. infection and homicide for men.

This rise in mortality for chronic diseases runs counter to trends in other developed countries, and the geographical differences are consistent with regional trends in smoking, high blood pressure and obesity. Dr. Ezzati speculates that data after 1999 will show more decreases in life span for the worst-off women. He expects to see a slight increase for men, with improved treatment for H.I.V. and AIDS.

In other words, it’s our smoking, drinking, eating and fucking that are killing us.

Happy Happy Joy Joy

This is amazing:

Arguably the most important finding from the emerging economics of happiness has been the Easterlin Paradox.

What is this paradox? It is the juxtaposition of three observations:

1) Within a society, rich people tend to be much happier than poor people.
2) But, rich societies tend not to be happier than poor societies (or not by much).
3) As countries get richer, they do not get happier.

Easterlin offered an appealing resolution to his paradox, arguing that only relative income matters to happiness. Other explanations suggest a “hedonic treadmill,” in which we must keep consuming more just to stay at the same level of happiness.

Either way, the policy implications of the Paradox are huge, as they suggest that economic growth may not raise well-being by much.

Given the stakes in this debate, Betsey Stevenson and I thought it worth reassessing the evidence.

We have re-analyzed all of the relevant post-war data, and also analyzed the particularly interesting new data from the Gallup World Poll.

Last Thursday we presented our research at the latest Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, and we have arrived at a rather surprising conclusion:

There is no Easterlin Paradox.

Read it. It’s a beautiful example of how absence of evidence does not equal evidence of absence (you paying attention, atheists?)

Personally, I always suspected this was bullshit for a variety of reasons. Primarily lifespan. Even if we assume that the typical person has a fixed mean level of happiness — say 14 Abigails per year — then a longer life means more happiness over the integral from birth to death. A lifespan of 50 years means 700 Abigails of happiness while a lifespan of 80 years means 1120 Abigails.

Sociologists. I don’t think they think about these things very hard.

Monday Linkorama

  • One can only hope
  • Two amusing sites: When photoshop goes wrong and old timey ads.
  • The unions show their concern for the education of poor people by fighting scholarships. Nice.
  • Are we really in a recession? Alan Reynolds isn’t so sure. I think we are in a recession but there is no question that the media is making it seems worse than it is. After all, the Dems could take the White House this year. Must parrot the party line. More from George Will here
  • Megan McArdle’s random thoughts on the credit crunch are better than most people’s organized thoughts. A must read.
  • buy the us phone book software Cheap oem software
    buy cheap schedule calendar software Buy oem software

    Babbies Everywhere

    As I was walking into work today, I saw a woman sitting in the shade having lunch with her baby. The little tyke — couldn’t have been more than two months old — was asleep in a buggy (or “travel system” as they’re called these days). I looked for a little while and smiled. It was a cute scene.

    I never used to be one for going, “awww” when it came to kids. I’d see people with kids and it’s didn’t affect me. I’d read about sick kids and I’d feel bad, but I wouldn’t be devastated. I’d watch movies where they had the Child in Danger (TM) and I’d get annoyed. The floodwaters or whatever would be closing in on some little tot and all I could think was “This again? What, was central casting out of cute puppies?” In fact, our decision to have kids wasn’t made because we luuuved kids but because, at our age, it was now or never.

    That’s all changed since I’ve become a dad. Maybe it’s because I can now project everything onto Abby. Seeing that woman in the shade made me think about when my daughter was nothing but a bologna loaf with big blue eyes. Or maybe Abby fixed whatever was broken in me. But I have changed. For the better, I hope. It’s hasn’t made me a big bleeding-heart liberal; quite the opposite, in fact. But I do feel a little closer to my fellow human beings.

    Friday Linkorama

  • Don’t you just love zero tolerance? A kid finds his new camera gives him a shock when he pushes the picture button, gives it to a friend to get shocked and is promptly suspended. Geez.
  • Listen, Pizza Hut. Just rehire the guy and apologize. Your pizza isn’t good enough for you to pull this crap off.
  • Our wonderful efficient public schools. Buying ipods for administrators.
  • Don’t you just love announcers?
  • Sunday Night Linkorama

  • Here’s a tip. If you’re going to accuse someone of plagiarism, make sure he’s not plagiarizing himself.
  • Speaking of plagiarism, it’s probably not a good idea to steal your honor code.
  • I have to come up with one of these.
  • The Hillarys and the Huckabees. I like it.
  • How lovely. People get foreclosed on and trash the house, demonstrating the same responsible behavior that got them foreclosed on in the first place.
  • Spin

    Was just watching Conan and he was doing a segment on spinning wedding rings. I tried it with my own and can easily get 30 seconds and sometimes as long as as minute.

    The question I have is why does the ring spin so well? This is obviously before his physicist guest. I would guess the symmetry of a plain band combined with the low friction of gold.

    Clueless

    Is anyone surprised that scientists find that men aren’t very good at reading signals from women?

    I was always on the “she doesn’t like me” side of the equation. I assume that either there were a number of women who were interested in me who escaped my noticed or that women just weren’t interested me. I don’t know which would be worse. Having missed some opportunities or having not had many.

    Tuesday Morning Linkorama

  • Sometimes I want to give a chance to the Democrats. But then their majority leader says something really stupid. Who knew the Founding Fathers liked earmarks?
  • Ewww. OK, it’s clean and tidy. But yesterday, I put my daughter in a box and pushed her around the room like she was in a racing car. She laughed and giggled the whole time, her eyes alight with glee. Can your zombie babies do that?
  • I was never that big a fan of David Mamet and could give a rat’s ass about his politics. But Gutman is right. Hollywood will now find him cliched and sooo 90’s, now that he’s a libertarian.
  • I’m with Bob Barr, who is so much more likable now that’s he’s not in Congress. Seizing cars because they are driven by illegal immigrants is going to ruin a lot of innocent people. I hate seizure laws; hate them.
  • This story, about a man losing his dead wife’s voice mail in an upgrade, is just heartbreaking. I’ve never had that situation, but once, after a breakup, I kept an ex-girlfriend’s last phone message on my machine for a long time (an “I love you” message, not a “go to hell” message).
  • Teenage Suicide … Don’t Do It

    You know that explosion of teenagers offing themselves? Uh, like, no. Suicide rates peak for people in their 80’s — when people are old enough to have lived their lives but not so old they can’t work a gun any longer.

    I’m actually surprised as my only suicidal thoughts were during high school. Any teen killing himself is a tragedy, obviously, and the problem is not to be taken lightly. It’s not just tragic, it’s stupid. High school was the worst period of my life. But I’ve had so many wonderful experiences since then (one of whom is grabbing at my arm while I type this).

    The Last of the Titans

    There’s a nice little piece over at the NYT on the 20 or so remaining World War I veterans.

    These men fascinate me. I can’t imagine what it was like for them back in, say, 1917, when they were watching their friends and comrades get slaughtered by the hundreds of thousands. Just imagine not only surviving that horror but hanging on for another 90 years. What an awesome responsibility.

    Fed Strikes Back

    I have to admit, the Fed loan of $200 billion to banks confuses me. Fortunately, McCardle is there to explain it to us non-economists.

    What’s happening to the credit markets is a little akin to a bank run. The underlying conditions may be somewhat shaky, but what’s really screwing things up is that everyone’s trying to run for the exits–or just play possum–at once.

    So this is the equivalent of the Fed slapping people and telling them to come to their senses — some mortgage-backed securities are good investments.

    Boy, James Surowiecki must be loving this.